The story goes that, upon hearing of Richard Nixon's election triumph, a resident of New York's tony Upper East Side exclaimed "But how could that happen? Everybody I know voted for McGovern!" Usually attributed to film critic Pauline Kael, it's an example of the logical fallacy known as hasty generalization : drawing an overbroad conclusion based on a statistically insufficient sample. From the Wall Street Journal : "In reality, Kael was more self-aware than that. What she actually said, as reported by the Times in December 1972, was: "I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon." But you see how the fallacy works: By her own account, Kael led a parochial life, seldom venturing outside her "special world." If she had mistaken her circle of acquaintances for a representative sample of Americans, she would have been mystified by the election outcome." To a certain extent, we all live "pa...
“The future is here. It's just not widely distributed yet.” (William Gibson)